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Two months into a record-breaking overtime
legislative session, the four state legislative leaders met last week to
talk about the budget, but for the first time ever they made a point of not
inviting Gov. Rod Blagojevich. Senate President Emil Jones and House Speaker Michael
Madigan, plus high-level members of the other two legislative caucuses, all
described the talks as generally positive. The governor’s people also described the
meeting as a positive event. Jones sat down with the governor later to
brief him about the meeting. The governor’s people say that
Blagojevich also outlined where he wanted the budget talks to go. The
governor’s office insisted that the two men are still on the same
page. Blagojevich and Jones have been practically welded at
the hip all year, so Jones’ attendance of a budget negotiation
without Blagojevich was seen as a major step, which is why the
governor’s office was quick to claim that everything was still fine
between the two men. The idea behind the meeting sans governor was that Blagojevich
isn’t much of a negotiator. Instead of trying to find mutual
solutions, the governor tends to give canned speeches over and over again,
endlessly repeating his talking points, particularly those regarding his
demand for his beloved health-insurance plan for the uninsured. He’s
also quite abrasive and confrontational during the negotiating sessions,
particularly with House Speaker Michael Madigan and Senate GOP Leader Frank
Watson.
In other words, he was more of a hindrance than a
help when it came time to negotiate the budget. On Friday, Blagojevich
brought Watson into his office to discuss “building a
relationship,” according to WLS (890 AM) reporter Ryan Hermes. If he
had done that sort of thing six months ago, the governor might not have had
so many problems this year. Blagojevich tried for weeks to pass his
health-insurance bill out of the Senate as a means of gaining some leverage
against Madigan. The powerful Democratic speaker has feuded openly with the
governor for more than a year, and he had remained mum about whether he
would allow the health-insurance legislation to proceed if the Senate
passed it. Just to make sure, Madigan worked behind the scenes to stall the
bill in the Senate. The governor wanted to muscle the insurance bill out
and force Madigan to accept it (and thereby “prove” his
Democratic Party bona fides) or reject it (and confirm Blagojevich’s
oft-repeated claim that the speaker and Democratic Party of Illinois
chairman is in reality a “right-wing Republican”). But, for various reasons, including the
governor’s incompetence, arrogance, and intractability and
Jones’ failure to unite his huge Democratic majority this year on
just about anything, the Senate has been unable to pass the
governor’s health-insurance legislation. That failure very likely
contributed to Jones’ realization that the only way out of this
overtime session mess was to talk things over with the other legislative
leaders and leave Blagojevich out of it. Jones is a strong, practical negotiator, so by taking
the negotiating reins from Blagojevich and continuing his arduous and
difficult shuttle diplomacy between the other leaders and the governor he
could wind up the hero. If Madigan forces Blagojevich to cry uncle,
he’ll consider that a win for himself.
Blagojevich has had to bow to Jones repeatedly this
year, mainly because he had no other choice. The governor has tied himself
and his legislative hopes so closely to the Senate leader that he’s
had to try to keep Jones as happy as possible or risk complete irrelevance.
Blagojevich guessed, wrongly, that Jones’ veto-proof majority would
mean easy wins in the Senate for his legislative agenda — but he
would be alone if Jones walked away. Nobody else with power at the Statehouse trusts
Blagojevich or particularly cares to do business with him. The man has made
more (and stronger) political enemies than any governor I’ve covered
in 17 years. Jones is all Blagojevich has left. Jones may be the only person in the world who can
help Blagojevich save a little face. As I write this, everybody in
Springfield who has been dragged along on this record-breaking farce is
keeping his fingers crossed that Jones will succeed and let us go on with
our lives.
Rich Miller publishes Capitol
Fax, a daily political newsletter. He can be
reached at capitolfax.blogspot.com.
This article appears in Jul 26 – Aug 1, 2007.
